Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2004 |
AUS
0 - 1
TUR
46%
28%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 3
TUR
47%
28%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
ZAF
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
AUS
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AUS
2 - 1
JAM
67%
22%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
NZL
96%
4%
0%
|
71 | 99 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
NZL
0 - 3
JPN
8%
17%
75%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
USA
2 - 1
NZL
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |