Australia vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
2.9%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 0
VUT
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 35 | 55 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
URY
3 - 0
AUS
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 0
URY
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 1
FRA
14%
24%
62%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
JPN
3 - 0
AUS
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FJI
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SLB
2 - 4
NCL
65%
18%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
NCL
2 - 1
FJI
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -6 |
| 28 Feb. 1980 |
NCL
8 - 0
PNG
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1980 |
NCL
4 - 3
VUT
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |