Australia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 1
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 1
AUS
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
DEN
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
AUS
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
4 - 1
AUS
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 1
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
NED
1 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
0 - 2
ECU
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ECU
0 - 0
IRQ
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |