Australia vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1979 |
TJK
0 - 2
AUS
18%
22%
60%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
NZL
1 - 0
AUS
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRC
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
0 - 1
GRC
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 2
GRC
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
FRA
2 - 1
CSK
48%
27%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 1
SWE
68%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |