Armenia vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DNK
2 - 1
ARM
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
LVA
2 - 0
ARM
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
DEU
6 - 1
ARM
92%
7%
1%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
DZA
3 - 1
ARM
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 4
ARM
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 1
FRA
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
SRB
88%
10%
3%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
SRB
40%
28%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SRB
2 - 1
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRL
1 - 2
SRB
60%
23%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |