Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1960 |
BRA
5 - 1
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 4
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1960 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1960 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1960 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1959 |
URU
1 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |