Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
5 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 2
ARG
7%
16%
77%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
PRT
1 - 0
ARG
33%
25%
42%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
HRV
67%
19%
13%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PRY
2 - 2
HND
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 0
PRY
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
PRY
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
PRY
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
PRY
2 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |