Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
5 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1926 |
PRY
1 - 2
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1926 |
PRY
1 - 2
ARG
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARG
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1925 |
PRY
1 - 3
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1926 |
PRY
1 - 2
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1926 |
PRY
1 - 2
ARG
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1925 |
PRY
1 - 3
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1925 |
BRA
5 - 2
PRY
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 1925 |
ARG
2 - 0
PRY
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |