Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARG
28%
23%
49%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1957 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
44%
23%
33%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URY
70%
17%
14%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 0
CHL
35%
21%
44%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOL
70%
15%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
CHL
1 - 1
BRA
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRA
26%
22%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |