Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URY
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
4 - 0
ECU
91%
7%
3%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1956 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRA
44%
22%
34%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHL
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHL
81%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
CHL
5 - 0
PRY
65%
17%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |