Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
NLD
4 - 0
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
ARG
4 - 1
HTI
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
POL
3 - 2
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
NLD
4 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 0
DDR
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
COD
0 - 3
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
SCT
0 - 0
BRA
35%
26%
39%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 0
YUG
68%
17%
15%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 0
PRY
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |