Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1971 |
CHL
2 - 2
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1971 |
URY
1 - 1
ARG
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
ARG
1 - 0
URY
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1971 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1971 |
PRY
1 - 1
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
PRY
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
0 - 0
HUN
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
2 - 2
YUG
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
CSK
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 1
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | -1 |