Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1963 |
PER
2 - 1
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PRY
2 - 0
BRA
38%
23%
40%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 1
COL
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
87%
9%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PRY
2 - 2
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
CSK
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |