Algeria vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
0 - 1
DZA
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TGO
1 - 4
DZA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
DZA
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DZA
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
DZA
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GMB
3 - 1
BEN
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GMB
0 - 1
TGO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
TGO
1 - 1
GMB
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
DZA
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
CAF
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |