Saudi Arabia vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
IDN
0 - 6
SAU
11%
19%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
BTN
0 - 4
SAU
4%
14%
82%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2003 |
YEM
1 - 3
SAU
7%
17%
77%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SAU
5 - 0
IDN
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
SAU
6 - 0
BTN
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 37 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
HUN
0 - 1
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ALB
2 - 0
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BGR
2 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
POL
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |