Saudi Arabia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 1
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 1
COL
19%
26%
56%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
KSA
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PLE
1 - 1
KSA
15%
21%
65%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
KSA
0 - 1
JOR
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
CPV
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
NGA
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |