Saudi Arabia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
50.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 1
VEN
37%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 1
COL
15%
26%
59%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
KSA
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PLE
1 - 1
KSA
15%
21%
65%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
KSA
0 - 1
JOR
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
CPV
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
NGA
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
20%
24%
55%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |