Germany vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2002 |
DEU
1 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
DEU
1 - 0
PRY
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
CMR
0 - 2
DEU
7%
17%
76%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
DEU
1 - 1
IRL
74%
15%
11%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
DEU
8 - 0
SAU
88%
9%
4%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
KOR
81%
13%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 1
ITA
12%
24%
64%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
PRT
0 - 1
KOR
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 0
POL
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |