Germany vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
14%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1938 |
CHE
4 - 2
DEU
35%
22%
44%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1938 |
CHE
1 - 1
DEU
34%
22%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1938 |
DEU
3 - 6
ENG
50%
20%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
DEU
1 - 1
PRT
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
DEU
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
BRA
6 - 5
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
CHE
3 - 3
POL
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
POL
2 - 1
LVA
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |