Germany vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
DEU
0 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
DEU
18%
20%
62%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 3
UKR
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 3
BEL
52%
21%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
JPN
4 - 1
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
JPN
6 - 0
SLV
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 1
URY
38%
25%
37%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
JPN
1 - 1
HRV
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |