Germany vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEO
0 - 2
DEU
4%
11%
85%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DEU
2 - 2
AUS
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
DEU
44%
23%
32%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEU
4 - 0
GIB
98%
2%
0%
|
95 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
DEU
1 - 1
IRL
84%
12%
5%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
NLD
3 - 4
USA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DNK
3 - 2
USA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |