Albania vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
63.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ROU
6 - 1
ALB
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 4
BLR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 0
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
NLD
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
POL
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POL
0 - 3
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
CZE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FIN
0 - 1
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |