Selbitz vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
WUR
1 - 2
SEL
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
3 - 0
AHA
22%
23%
56%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AMM
4 - 0
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
JFO
3 - 1
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
SEL
86%
9%
4%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ERB
3 - 1
HOL
80%
12%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ERB
2 - 1
AHA
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 1
NEU
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
JFO
3 - 1
ERB
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ERB
1 - 2
SCH
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |