Selaya vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NOJ
1 - 2
SEL
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SEL
2 - 0
ATM
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VLE
0 - 1
SEL
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SEL
3 - 0
AYR
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
RAM
2 - 0
SEL
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
GAM
51%
24%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PRE
0 - 4
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAY
0 - 3
CAS
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |