Selargius vs USD Castelsardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 2
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SEL
1 - 2
ARZ
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SEL
4 - 1
POM
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CYN
0 - 2
SEL
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SEL
3 - 0
APR
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
USD Castelsardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
USD
0 - 2
FON
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
3 - 0
USD
69%
19%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
USD
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
USD
1 - 1
LAT
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
GAE
4 - 0
USD
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |