Sedan II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sedan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SED
6 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ROY
0 - 0
SED
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
REI
0 - 2
SED
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SED
3 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ESW
0 - 0
SED
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
2 - 1
CHA
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 1
ARR
50%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 2
LES
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ROY
1 - 1
ARR
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 1
FEI
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |