FK Sabail vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
7º
83
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 3
SEB
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SEB
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 4
SUM
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
KON
0 - 2
SEB
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
OLI
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FCK
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 2
QAR
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
ARA
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 2
QAR
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |