Seattle Sounders vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seattle Sounders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SES
1 - 0
MIN
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
POR
4 - 1
SES
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SES
3 - 0
STC
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 18 | 65 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 2
SES
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KCW
1 - 4
SES
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SDL
1 - 0
TAM
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NMU
1 - 1
SDL
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SDL
2 - 1
TUL
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SDL
2 - 0
ASD
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 2
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |