SDR San Esteban vs SP Guardes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDR San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 1
SES
85%
11%
5%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
GRA
20%
21%
59%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PON
2 - 0
SES
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SES
2 - 1
BEL
37%
24%
39%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UMI
3 - 1
SES
59%
20%
21%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
ERI
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAN
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 4
GUA
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |