SD Sparta vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
GUR
1 - 2
SDS
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
SDS
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
SDS
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 2
INT
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
ALT
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
SDS
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 1
MOT
29%
26%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 3
ABC
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
4 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |