O Val vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIV
5 - 0
OVA
78%
15%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OVA
2 - 0
PUE
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OVA
1 - 6
ART
11%
18%
72%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
OVA
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OVA
4 - 2
DUM
45%
25%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
ART
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 2
CDC
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
DUM
86%
11%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UPH
1 - 1
CDC
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |