Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 3-2
SD Logroñés vs Villaviciosa Odón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
VLO
1 - 1
SDL
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
CAG
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 1
SDL
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SDL
2 - 1
AFC
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIA
0 - 1
SDL
14%
19%
68%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Villaviciosa Odón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
VLO
1 - 1
SDL
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VLO
3 - 0
CDO
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CDO
2 - 0
VLO
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SFN
2 - 0
VLO
24%
26%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VLO
0 - 0
PBO
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |