Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
SD Logroñés vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
SDL
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SDL
3 - 0
AGO
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIA
0 - 6
SDL
6%
13%
81%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SDL
5 - 0
RIV
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
SDL
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
MEX
0 - 0
CDM
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
MEX
20%
26%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 2
MEX
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 0
ADP
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
MEX
35%
27%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |