Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
SD Logroñés vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
SDL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TED
2 - 2
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SDL
5 - 0
PRA
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
SDL
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SDL
1 - 0
ANG
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
SDL
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PXD
2 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
STA
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CLL
0 - 3
CON
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
ALC
58%
24%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |