SD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
UDE
1 - 1
SDC
42%
22%
36%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SDC
10 - 0
MER
80%
11%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
LCF
0 - 4
SDC
28%
22%
50%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SDC
6 - 0
BET
48%
21%
30%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SFE
4 - 2
SDC
53%
20%
27%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
RJA
2 - 2
MEL
39%
22%
38%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
RJA
4 - 3
UDE
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
MER
4 - 1
RJA
59%
19%
23%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
RJA
3 - 0
LCF
76%
13%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BET
5 - 1
RJA
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |