Atl. Nacional vs Millenium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
VIS
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
GEM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 5
MIL
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COS
2 - 1
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 2
GEM
44%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |