Atl. Nacional vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GEM
3 - 1
NAC
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
NAC
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
ARA
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
TAU
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
41%
30%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
AMA
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 4
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 2
AMA
40%
30%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |