Amanecer vs Zacande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
AMA
21%
23%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AMA
12 - 0
RAP
87%
10%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
AMA
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
AMA
9%
18%
73%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 0
PON
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zacande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ZAC
0 - 0
PON
50%
23%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
MOS
2 - 2
ZAC
66%
20%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 2
ZAC
32%
24%
44%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ZAC
4 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |