Amanecer vs Umia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CUN
2 - 2
AMA
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 0
CAM
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SES
2 - 2
AMA
30%
24%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 1
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
AMA
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UMI
0 - 0
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
UMI
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UMI
1 - 2
MAT
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 2
UMI
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UMI
2 - 2
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |