Kilb vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 2
SCO
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 2
SPR
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 2
ARD
20%
20%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
KOT
2 - 2
SCU
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 0
GAF
17%
18%
66%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
KRE
1 - 2
STP
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
STP
0 - 2
SVS
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZWE
1 - 0
STP
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
STP
0 - 1
SVR
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
STP
3 - 2
ROH
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |