Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 1
SWE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
SWE
2 - 1
KFC
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 3
ROT
27%
25%
47%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
AHA
5 - 1
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
OSN
1 - 3
HAN
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
PRE
3 - 0
OSN
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
OSN
1 - 1
USO
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
TEN
0 - 0
OSN
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
SCH
3 - 1
OSN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |