Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
SWE
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
KLE
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
WHE
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GEW
0 - 0
SWE
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MSV
7 - 1
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
MSV
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MSV
5 - 1
HAM
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KLE
2 - 0
MSV
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
WIE
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |