Austrian Bundesliga Round 24

SW Bregenz vs Sturm Graz analysis

SW Bregenz Sturm Graz
74 ELO 81
14.2% Tilt 13.9%
1877º General ELO ranking 545º
26º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.4%
SW Bregenz
23.8%
Draw
37.8%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
SW Bregenz
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.8%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SW Bregenz
-22%
+9%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

SW Bregenz
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2003
AWM
Admira Wacker
1 - 0
SW Bregenz
SWB
29%
25%
46%
75 64 11 0
22 Feb. 2003
GRA
Grazer AK
4 - 1
SW Bregenz
SWB
53%
24%
23%
75 81 6 0
30 Nov. 2002
SWB
SW Bregenz
3 - 6
Rapid Wien
RAP
46%
25%
29%
76 81 5 -1
23 Nov. 2002
1 - 1
SW Bregenz
SWB
47%
24%
29%
76 79 3 0
16 Nov. 2002
SWB
SW Bregenz
5 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
46%
26%
28%
75 80 5 +1

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2003
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 5
Grazer AK
GRA
52%
23%
25%
81 81 0 0
12 Dec. 2002
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
74%
16%
10%
81 90 9 0
04 Dec. 2002
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
44%
24%
32%
81 80 1 0
01 Dec. 2002
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 1
64%
20%
16%
81 79 2 0
28 Nov. 2002
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
81 89 8 0