Oberliga Round 9

Schwalmstadt vs Bernbach analysis

Schwalmstadt Bernbach
16 ELO 23
2.8% Tilt 0.5%
25932º General ELO ranking 33377º
840º Country ELO ranking 1097º
ELO win probability
22.2%
Schwalmstadt
22.6%
Draw
55.2%
Bernbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
Schwalmstadt
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.2%
Win probability
Bernbach
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Schwalmstadt
Bernbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schwalmstadt
Schwalmstadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2004
FVB
Bad Vilbel
2 - 3
Schwalmstadt
SWM
82%
12%
6%
14 24 10 0
04 Sep. 2004
SWM
Schwalmstadt
2 - 6
Eschborn
ESC
11%
19%
70%
15 42 27 -1
01 Sep. 2004
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 2
Schwalmstadt
SWM
88%
9%
3%
14 23 9 +1
28 Aug. 2004
SWM
Schwalmstadt
2 - 3
Vellmar
VEL
19%
23%
59%
15 26 11 -1
21 Aug. 2004
GOR
Germania Ober-Roden
0 - 2
Schwalmstadt
SWM
84%
12%
5%
13 30 17 +2

Matches

Bernbach
Bernbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2004
SVB
Bernbach
1 - 1
Germania Ober-Roden
GOR
39%
24%
37%
23 29 6 0
04 Sep. 2004
MAR
Marburg
1 - 1
Bernbach
SVB
61%
22%
17%
23 28 5 0
01 Sep. 2004
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
4 - 0
Bernbach
SVB
73%
17%
10%
24 35 11 -1
28 Aug. 2004
SVB
Bernbach
1 - 2
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
28%
24%
48%
24 33 9 0
22 Aug. 2004
WAL
Waldgirmes
2 - 2
Bernbach
SVB
51%
23%
25%
24 26 2 0