Schotz vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
81.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BLA
6 - 0
SCH
43%
21%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
MUN
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
SCH
29%
22%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 3
GRA
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
LUZ
0 - 4
SCH
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 2
LUG
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 2
VKP
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
STB
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |