Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
STU
3 - 1
S04
36%
25%
40%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
MPL
1 - 1
S04
19%
21%
60%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
S04
1 - 1
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
HSV
3 - 1
S04
20%
24%
56%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
S04
1 - 1
EIN
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 0
SGF
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AUG
1 - 1
SCF
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 2
BYM
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SCF
3 - 0
STU
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HAN
1 - 2
SCF
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |