Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
VCF
1 - 1
S04
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
S04
1 - 0
SCF
64%
22%
15%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
BVB
0 - 0
S04
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
S04
0 - 1
HOF
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
FCN
3 - 0
EIN
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
STU
1 - 4
FCN
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 0
LEV
19%
23%
59%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 0
HSV
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
S04
3 - 2
FCN
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |