Progresso vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACA
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
24%
22%
55%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USR
2 - 2
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIM
4 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 3
RIM
17%
20%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
RIM
3 - 0
BAG
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 1
RIM
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 2
RIM
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |