Progresso vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
2 - 1
PRO
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 2
BSD
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIM
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 2
FOR
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 1
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 3
LEN
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAG
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ACP
2 - 2
LEN
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |