Scanzorosciate vs Casatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
VCB
2 - 0
SCA
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SCA
1 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 0
SCA
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SCA
2 - 4
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
FAN
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NIB
1 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
VCB
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
CAL
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ADR
0 - 1
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |