SC Toronto vs Capital City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Toronto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 3
SCT
22%
22%
55%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SCT
2 - 1
MIS
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 2
SCT
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MON
0 - 4
SCT
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SCT
1 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Capital City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 3
CAC
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TCR
2 - 0
CAC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 5
CAC
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 2
SCT
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
SER
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |